I asked Rece if Coach Lanning needs to win this one to get his "signature win". Worth the minute listen pic.twitter.com/R39BXgz5Sh
— Nick Ursini (@NickUrsini22) October 27, 2023
I asked Rece if Coach Lanning needs to win this one to get his "signature win". Worth the minute listen pic.twitter.com/R39BXgz5Sh
— Nick Ursini (@NickUrsini22) October 27, 2023
Rivalry games are different. They tend to be close and tense. Points are precious. Field position matters more.
In all three of those games they led in the 4th quarter, outgained the opponent and won or tied in the turnover battle. As a team they must learn to finish these out--be two plays better, make better decisions and reads.
Decisions have a different weight in rivalry games, particularly because momentum swings are more powerful. By the 4th quarter the Ducks had quieted Husky Stadium. The failed fourth down gave the opponent life.
When a coach makes big decisions in critical moments, he has to know more than the math. He has to know how his team will respond and what's going to work. And he has to have the wisdom to learn from his own mistakes.
Five games into the season, and Oregon is number two in the country in scoring offense at 51.6 points per game. That part was commonplace in the years of Chip Kelly and Marcus Mariota.
The rare part is that the defense is keeping pace. Currently Oregon's stingy, salty defensive unit is 8th in the nation in scoring defense at 11.8 points per game, 3rd in yards per play defense at 4.02 points per game.
They are the only team in the nation with a top ten offense AND a top ten defense, something Duck fans lamented for years. "If only our defense could keep up with our offense..." Now it does. This defense has muscle.
Credit goes all around. The coaches made some terrific off season portal moves to strengthen both units. Coordinators Will Stein and Tosh Lupoi have done a great job. The Ducks have excellent depth, particularly in the defensive line and secondary. That's kept them fresh. Even the fans have helped. The energy at Autzen Stadium and from the growing contingent at road games inspires greater effort.
But an underappreciated key in Oregon's 5-0 start and playoff contention is that this is, overall, the fastest, strongest and best-conditioned Oregon roster ever. Without fanfare or flamboyance, Wilson Love has transformed the Oregon strength and conditioning program. Across position groups you will witness explosiveness, flexibility and functional strength.
On both sides of the ball, this is a physical team. Watch the surge and agility on this play by the defense during the Stanford game, from Jordan Burch (1) and Taki Taimani (55).
Quick notes on Oregon’s defense from yesterday.
— Geoff Schwartz (@geoffschwartz) October 1, 2023
They are so fast and tackle better. Evan Williams continues to flash on film
Being able to rush the passer with four is a huge advantage in this sport ⬇️
Taki Taimani (55) is a monster in the middle. Game wrecker in the run game. pic.twitter.com/KT7F9uNt9H
Even Oregon's wide receivers display improved strength. All season Troy Franklin and Traeson Holden have driven through defenders for first downs, delivered the blow to a tackler, like in the photo above.
It takes strength and explosion to make a catch like this touchdown from tight end Terrance Ferguson against The Cardinal, pulling the ball down over a defender. At the same time, nine months in the weight room provides the leverage and push the Oregon offensive is getting at the line of scrimmage, standing up the Stanford defense.
It was a game that started with eerie portents and a creeping familiarity. Oregon struggled out of the gate while the hosts put together two long field goal drives, choking the clock. After The Cardinal's Joshua Karty nailed a 53-yard field goal on the first play of the second quarter they led 6-0. Stanford had 120 yards of offense in the first fifteen minutes of the game. The Ducks had run just three plays, gaining a total of six yards. Bo Nix missed an open Tez Johnson on a deep shot on third and 4.
With their opening possession of the second quarter the Ducks misfired again. Bucky Irving ran for four, Nix was flushed out of the pocket and missed Irving down the right sideline, on a throw he didn't have time to set his feet and bounced to his receiver, then threw underneath to his running back again on third down, stopped short of the sticks. Oregon chose to punt on 4th and three, their second three and out in two possessions.
A sack by Evan Williams got the defense off the field in 5 plays.
It was 9:08 of the second quarter before the Quack Attack made a first down, on a keeper to the left side by Nix. That led to a six-play, 69-yard touchdown drive. Nix hit the ever-reliable Troy Franklin for 13 yards, then Jordan James busted loose behind Josh Conerly and Marcus Harper II for a 13-yard run followed by a 30-yard touchdown run and a 7-6 lead.
TOUCHDOWN‼@JordanJames24 goes 30 yards for the score, his seventh of the year.
— Oregon Football (@oregonfootball) September 30, 2023
ORE 7, STAN 6 (Q2 | 8:15) #GoDucks
📷 @Pac12Network pic.twitter.com/YnCuok2NB7
Jordan Burch burst through the line on third and five to tackle Lake Oswego product Casey Filkins for a loss and Stanford went three and out.
Ahead now, Nix and the offense found their rhythm, driving 75 yards in six plays. Nix hit Franklin on passes of 15, 12 and 11 yards, Irving ran for 11, then on 2nd and 4 from the Stanford 17, he performed a shake, bake and stiff arm to power his way for a TD, again behind the duo of Conerly and Harper.
Around the corner, to the house.#GoDucks | @BuckyIrving
— Oregon Football (@oregonfootball) September 30, 2023
📺 @Pac12Network pic.twitter.com/QsZbdqBpE7
The Ducks led 14-6 at the half. After his early struggles Nix settled down to complete 12-15 passes for 96 yards, and the Oregon o-line powered Irving and James to 94 yards and the two touchdowns, 10.2 yards a carry. Burch spearheaded the defensive effort with 5 tackles, two of them for loss. Williams, Khyree Jackson and Mase Funa all had sacks. After their 120-yard start Stanford managed just four net yards in the second quarter.
The pattern continued in the second half. Unleashed now, the Oregon offense would score six unanswered touchdowns, 4 second half TD passes by Nix, two to Troy Franklin, a back shoulder throw high over the defender to Troy Franklin, then a slant zipped to Traeshon Holden with 11:33 to go in the fourth quarter to reach 42-6.
"And now a deep shot..."
— Oregon Football (@oregonfootball) October 1, 2023
46-yard connection from @BoNix10 to @TroooyyyyyyTroy
ORE 28, STAN 6 (Q3 | 8:54)#GoDucks
📺 @Pac12Network pic.twitter.com/jHGcFUbC9M
Stanford would not score again, the defense getting back-to-back sacks from Bay Area product and true freshman linebacker Jerry Mixon and then veteran Brandon Dorlus. Dontae Manning and Nikko Reed made nice plays in the secondary. Ty Thompson took over at quarterback. The Ducks reached the Cardinal 31, then took a knee twice to end the game.
After the game Dan Lanning told the press, “We started off a little slow, but we kicked it into gear. I thought our guys responded. We just had to get through that lull to start."
They'll probably need a stronger start in two weeks when they face UW in Seattle. The Huskies reached 5-0 in the PAC-12's nightcap by edging Arizona 31-24 in the desert. In Boulder, Colorado USC jumped out to a big lead then hung on to beat the Buffs 48-41. Shedeur Sanders shredded a suspect Trojan defense for 371 yards and 4 TDs; Colorado piled up 564 yards of offense, but Caleb Williams threw six touchdown passes to win the shootout.
Those are matchups for another day. In Palo Alto the salty Oregon defense churned out 5 sacks and 11 tackles for loss to establish itself as the league's most dominant. The Ducks outgained Stanford 506-222 and they were perfect in the Red Zone. Three times the defense stopped them on fourth down.
Bucky Irving numbers through three games.
— CFBLIVE247 (@CFBLive247_) September 30, 2023
37 carries
305 rushing yards
3 rushing touchdowns
• Irving is averaging a mind numbing 8.2 yards per carry@BuckyIrving @SSN_Oregon pic.twitter.com/y3870nY303
Khyree Jackson had a day. 👀 pic.twitter.com/feVPUdPRiz
— ☘️LegalizeQuack☘️ (@Legalize_Quack) September 24, 2023
For years Stanford has been the bugaboo, the Waterloo, the rock in the shoe, the albatross. That ends now, literally, because this is the final year that Oregon and The Cardinal will meet as conference opponents, unless some future round of cash-grab realignment throws them together in the next sweep of the invisible hand.
Four times in the last 14 years the Ducks have come to the game against the Trees as a Top Team ten, only to lose one that got away. Since 2009, the series is 7-7.
Oregon currently owns a win streak of 16 straight games against unranked opponents. They're seeking to become 5-0 for the first time since 2013, Marcus Mariota's sophomore year and Mark Helfrich's first as head coach. That team reached 8-0 and number two in the country before a November 7 game with... number six Stanford.
They lost 26-20 in Palo Alto, then lost again November 23 at Arizona, finishing 11-2 after a 30-7 win in the Alamo Bowl over Texas.
Continued series from @UnfilteredFb
— Sidelines - CFB (@SSN_CollegeFB) March 12, 2022
*Most important game of each season - “Tone setting game” -
2013- (November, 7th)
(5) Stanford vs (3) Oregon
Oregons second half heroics fall short- BCS title hopes are erased. @SSN_Oregon @SSN_Pac12 (Stanford) pic.twitter.com/Ti5ViSK6Mb
On Wednesday Dan Lanning said, “This is a bring-your-own juice game. It’s going to be a different atmosphere. But if you step on the grass and it means something to you, you’re going to step on there and try to perform to a certain level because you have pride in the game.”
If the Ducks do perform to that level it would give them four wins over Stanford (and their iconoclastic band and ghastly tree mascot) in the last five games. That should be enough to retire the supposed curse, more certain than sacrificing a goat.
Blood sacrifice shouldn't be necessary, because The Team That Uncle Phil Built can readily lay claim to what should be some decisive advantages in Palo Alto, 3:30 P.M. Pacific on the PAC-12 Network. Oregon is 4-0, second in the entire country in scoring offense at 54.0 points per game.
By contrast, the Stanford offense is plodding and inept. In their 1-3 start they've scored just 22.5 points a game, 97th in the FBS. In new head coach Troy Taylor's first year their quarterbacks have been sacked 13 times. The once-vaunted Cardinal are 126th in pass defense. 119th in sacks allowed per game. 120th in total defense. They allow 307 yards a game through the air.
Stanford Last 4
DATE OPP RESULT
9/23/23 vsARIZ L21-20
9/16/23 vsSAC L30-23
9/9/23 @USC L56-10
9/1/23 @HAW W37-24
Worse yet, they perform before lackluster and uninspired crowds. These aren't the formidable denizens of intellectual brutality Jim Harbaugh and David Shaw led out of the tunnel. Harbaugh's moved on to Michigan and Shaw retired. In their last four campaigns beginning in 2019 The Cardinal are 4-8, 4-2, 3-9 and 3-9, losing the Big Game to Cal three out of the last four years. As a result they barely draw 30,000 to home games. It will be an echo chamber unless Bay Area Ducks muster a contingent.
Provided Oregon executes and throws off the distractions of last week's emotional victory over Colorado, next week's bye, or the impending dream matchup with 4-0, number 7 Washington and current Heisman Trophy favorite Michael Penix in Husky Stadium on October 14, victory should be simple.
Yet we know it rarely is. The hosts feature a competent running game with three capable backs in EJ Smith IV (son of Emmitt, the NFL's all-time leading rusher), Sedrick Irvin (son of Sedrick senior, former star running back at Michigan State) and Casey Filkins (son of Lake Oswego, Oregon, The Cardinal's best back with 184 yards on 24 carries, 7.7 yards a pop.)
All three can be explosive. Filkins broke a 59-yard run against USC, a 47-yarder against Hawaii. Last week in a 21-20 home loss to Arizona Irvin bolted for 66 yards on 10 carries, including a 45-yard scamper on third and 7 on Stanford's first series of the game.
In 2022 against the Ducks in Autzen Stadium, Filkins gashed them for 80 yards on 19 carries. He also caught a 42-yard touchdown pass from Tanner McKee, though Oregon won 45-27 behind four TDs from Bo Nix, two passing and two on the ground, including an 80-yard touchdown run.
Smith is a senior from Dallas, Texas. Over an injury-riddled college career he's flashed a bit of the ability that made his father an NFL legend, but uncertain health and bad blocking have limited his opportunities. Against Arizona he had just one carry for no gain. The week before in the loss to Sacramento State, 9 rushes for 71 yards. Against USC, 5 for 50. For the young season he's toted the rock 19 times for 135 yards, 7.1 a carry with one touchdown.
Here he is in the opening game of 2022, awaking the echoes for one shining moment. He suffered an injured leg a couple of weeks later, lost for the season. Greatness is a cruel mistress, slipping out the back door to have a cigarette, stubbing out the ash and leaving open the gate:
During their 4-0 start the Ducks have shown some vulnerability to the running game and a running quarterback, something they have to tighten up before future clashes with Washington, Utah and USC, all ranked in the AP Top Ten, an historic first for the conference. Traditional rival Oregon State pounds the ground for 225 yards a game, paced by the league's leader in rushing, tailback Damien Martinez.
A matchup with Stanford wouldn't be complete without a monster tight end in the Red and White. This year's version is 6-6, 242 Benjamin Yurosek, a senior from Bakersfield, California. He wears number 84. In 2023, he's grabbed 15 passes for 227 yards and a touchdown, 15.1 yards a catch.
Bo Nix to Troy Franklin — Franklin is TOO smooth pic.twitter.com/IqcyTt2WU2
— Cam Mellor (@CamMellor) September 23, 2023
It was a nearly perfect play in an explosive offense, one of the many highlight moments in Franklin's dazzling Oregon career. Everybody knows they have to cover him, but hardly anyone can.
Bo Nix to Troy Franklin — Franklin is TOO smooth pic.twitter.com/IqcyTt2WU2
— Cam Mellor (@CamMellor) September 23, 2023
Pac-12 Performance Spotlight:
— WestCoastCFB (@WestCoastCFB) September 10, 2023
Troy Franklin, a former top 50 recruit nationally, racked up 103 receiving yards on Texas Tech
pic.twitter.com/W0reZ6fbdh
Week 2 Players to Watch:
— Ryan Bread (@FFRybread) September 8, 2023
Troy Franklin vs Texas Techpic.twitter.com/QPqOtnqrtG
Another Duck holding to continue the successes of last week. Franklin has the potential to sneak into the 1st round but at the least hopes to solidify his Early Day 2 projection
On its surface, this week's Oregon at Stanford has all the makings of a classic letdown game. The Cardinal are in last place in the league, 0-2 in conference and 1-3 overall. Oregon is 4-0, coming off an emotional win on national TV over Colorado with a bye next week followed by a clash with traditional rival Washington October 14.
Most Duck fans know at least some of the sordid and frustrating history of Oregon versus Stanford. In 2012, DAT missed a block and Ertz was out. 1989, Oregon blew a 17-0 lead in the 4th quarter. 2001, two blocked punts in the 4th quarter cost Joey Harrington and company a shot at the BCS playoff. In 2018, this happened:
I would like to report a strangling. https://t.co/LeuAdG5hcy
— Dale Bliss (@DSH_Newton) September 26, 2023
Ducks vs. Them: Game 4 Cinematic Recap. #GoDucks pic.twitter.com/5PgrZNoaNU
— Oregon Football (@oregonfootball) September 26, 2023
Through those first three periods celebrated Colorado quarterback Shedeur Sanders had completed 15-22 passes for 95 yards, but the Ducks had sacked him six times (Jordan Burch and Casey Rogers would add another one in the fourth quarter.) Demetrice Martin's secondary put the clamps on his receivers, the Front Seven kept him in the pocket, pressured him on play after play. Receivers were tackled immediately with little yardage after catch, so much so that the Buffs trailed 42-0 with only 7 first downs.
In the last period against the Oregon reserves, the visitors put together a face-saving 93-yard drive against the second and third team to avoid the shutout, but still they were held to just 199 yards for the game.
Realize that this was a Colorado team that in Week One shocked college football with a 45-42 road victory over TCU, a team that played in the national championship game last year. In that one Sanders threw for 510 yards and four touchdowns, 38-47 passing.
Defensive back Khyree Jackson is quickly establishing himself as Oregon's lockdown corner. Saturday he had 4 tackles while knocking away three passes, using leverage and elite cover skills to blanket receivers and take away the deep ball.
Khyree Jackson had a day. 👀 pic.twitter.com/feVPUdPRiz
— ☘️LegalizeQuack☘️ (@Legalize_Quack) September 24, 2023
Meanwhile, Oregon's strong inside rushers, Popo Aumavae, Rogers, Taki Tamiani and Teitum Tuioti, regularly pushed Colorado's interior linemen back into the quarterback's face while the edge rushers and blitzing linebackers pinched him from the outside. This resulted not only in seven sacks but numerous pressures and hits.
Watched Oregon's D first today. Colorado's O was in a blender. The Ore pass defense is legit. They've held 3 straight FBS opponents to a negative EPA on drop backs. The entire secondary is playing well.
— Geoff Schwartz (@geoffschwartz) September 24, 2023
My favorite play was two true freshman pass rushers meeting at the QB. pic.twitter.com/TkcfpsHQfF
Connor Soelle led all defenders with six tackles. He did a great job in underneath coverage and limiting passing yards by the backs, which had been a staple of Colorado's early success in their 3-0 start. Safety Evan Williams contributed four tackles and 1.5 sacks, while South Carolina transfer Burch had two sacks.
Also noteworthy is that the Ducks are DEEP on defense. This was a stop in the second quarter with Oregon leading 21-0. Jake Shipley and Bryce Boettcher combine to make a play. Tosh Lupoi is rotating 26-30 guys when the game is still competitive. A full 22 players recorded at least one tackle.
The Oregon defensive end setting the edge is mid 3-star Jake Shipley, and the linebacker making the tackle is walk-on Bryce Boettcher who's on loan from the baseball team. pic.twitter.com/ENcSsqHyxY
— hythloday almond (@hythloday1) September 25, 2023
No. 19 Colorado Buffaloes vs. No. 10 Oregon Ducks Highlights
— Dale Bliss (@DSH_Newton) September 25, 2023
https://t.co/KexKG3FiNN
Oregon head coach Dan Lanning didn't hold back in his pregame speech against Colorado 👀
— ESPN (@espn) September 23, 2023
"They're fighting for clicks, we're fighting for wins." pic.twitter.com/imo4OHA4fA
They led 35-0 at halftime, stuffed the Buffs again on their first possession of the second half, then drove 76 yards in six plays to score again.
Noah Whittington blasted up the middle for 16 yards to get the Ducks to their 42. Bo Nix hit Traeshon Holden for 8 yards, then again for 29. A route up the sideline to Troy Franklin drew pass interference, Ducks ball at the Colorado 6.
On 4th and goal from the one (Dan Lanning was still going for touchdowns on 4th down) Jordan James powered in behind strong blocks from Josh Conerly and Marcus Harper II.
With 9:00 minutes to play in the third quarter Oregon led 42-0. Evan Williams blitzed from the left side on third and six, dumping Shedeur Sanders for a 9-yard loss, the home team's sixth sack of the game, forcing another Colorado punt.
The game lost energy after that. With Nix still in the Ducks picked up a face masking penalty to cross midfield, then Bucky Irving broke a 19-yard run to reach the Colorado 21. A pass to Holden got the Ducks to the 9.
On 4th and 5, Lanning stubbornly passed up a field goal but the visitors got pressure and Nix missed Holden in the end zone for a turnover on downs.
🙌 @oregonfootball showed UP 🔥 pic.twitter.com/tOTopSlkxN
— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) September 23, 2023
By the end of the third quarter, the Ducks led by that same 42-0 score. The defense had held 3-0, 19th-ranked Colorado, the sensation of the opening month of college football to a scant 72 yards and 7 first downs, -23 yards rushing. Sanders had little time to throw and was limited to short passes, 15-22 for 95 yards.
Nix ended his day 28-33 for 276 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. He'd also run for an 11-yard touchdown just before the end of the first half.
In the battle of Heisman candidates, Nix was the clear winner.
With the Oregon reserves in, Colorado put together a 14-play, 93-yard drive in the fourth quarter that nearly doubled their yardage for the game. Sanders connected with Xavier Weaver for 21 yards to the Oregon 6, then found tight end Michael Harrison in the left corner of the end zone for six. The Ducks blocked the extra point with just 2:51 to play in the game, leaving time only for the runout.
At the gun it was 42-6. The Ducks outgained Colorado 522-199. Nix completed 85% of his passes while Irving, Whittington and James led a rushing attack that chewed up the Buffalo front line for 240 yards on 38 attempts, 6.3 per rush. The defense sacked Sanders 7 times.
In the postgame press conference Deion Sanders bluntly admitted, "It was an old-fashioned butt-kicking."
Thank you @DeionSanders for not letting the press control the narrative of the team’s loss today. We still #IBelieve No excuses. Admitted the other team was better prepared and said they'd learn from it. @CUBuffsFootball 🦬 #CoachPrime #COLvsORE #DeionSanders pic.twitter.com/IqLgkMpfMl
— Lupus Dei (@rebelprime21) September 24, 2023
.@CoachDanLanning on what he enjoys most about coaching Bo Nix. pic.twitter.com/FDIx5s2kDK
— Jim Rome (@jimrome) September 22, 2023
I love our coach #GoDucks pic.twitter.com/3neZ1ISltl
— Geaux Ducks (@GeauxDuck) September 22, 2023
Why can’t Colorado?!
— Emmanuel Acho (@EmmanuelAcho) September 22, 2023
I believe! #GoBuffs@DeionSanders pic.twitter.com/qVv0VJ9XGm
It's a showcase and an opportunity. The Sanders Show, featured on 60 Minutes last weekend, has created fascination and a frenzy around the country, particularly among the media. Merchandise sales at Colorado are up 819%.
Noah Whittington 34-yards to the 🏠 pic.twitter.com/hxI1rw1W9b
— Pac-12 Network (@Pac12Network) September 17, 2023
Noah Whittington’s eyes are ELITE pic.twitter.com/QGbqtwvTUE
— The Flock Pod (@TheFlockPod) October 10, 2022
Noah Whittington is the fastest 🦆 on the planet…
— College Football Network (@CFN365) October 29, 2022
pic.twitter.com/1MMuB4Hd3d
Not to be outdone, #22 Noah Whittington had everyone off-balance here pic.twitter.com/JJWGJFc48q
— Mike Golic Jr (@mikegolicjr) June 14, 2023
We talked yesterday about the psychological factors, how the Ducks have to prepare and ready themselves for the hype onslaught that Coach Prime creates, but it would be a mistake to underplay the talent on the Buffalo roster or ignore that fact that Deion Sanders is an exceptional motivator and has hired a strong staff.
Sanders nabbed Sean Lewis from Kent State and he's done a fabulous job designing a scheme that's perfect for quarterback Shedeur Sanders. The Buffs are second in the nation in passing yards per game at 418.0 with their junior triggerman completing 78.7% of his throws.
They can score from anywhere and score quickly. Sanders rarely runs, but he's adept at scrambling to buy time and give his receivers extra time to get open. Against Colorado State they drove 98 yards to tie the game with 1:06 to play in the fourth quarter.
The Colorado offense has struggled for most of the night. But Shedeur Sanders finds Jimmy Horn Jr. and then Michael Harrison on a game-tying two-point conversion.
— The Comeback (@thecomeback) September 17, 2023
The Buffaloes drove 98 yards for the tying TD pic.twitter.com/qYAaYmMDhc
In addition, the junior from Dallas, Texas is athletic and smart. He studies film. He has no doubt noted that the Ducks have struggled to keep quarterbacks in the pocket, how Tyler Shough broke off some big runs against them, 145 yards rushing before four sacks were deducted. He'll adjust his game to take advantage.
The junior transfer from Jackson State is 6-2, 216 with an NIL valuation of 5.1 million dollars, according to On3 Sports. He drives a Rolls Royce and dates actress Storm Reid. For his career, he's thrown 80 touchdowns with just 15 interceptions. As a high school quarterback at Trinity Christian High in Cedar Hills, Texas, he powered his team to back-to-back Division II state championships, compiling a 27-1 record over two years.
On Monday reporters asked Dan Lanning what makes Sanders such a good quarterback.
"I think he always keeps his eyes downfield and looking for opportunities to find open receivers, and that's something his wideouts have done a great job of," Lanning said.
"He's had several scramble opportunities, but I would describe him as a guy that scrambles to throw and not necessarily scramble to run. But when he has to run with his feet, he can. He's extended plays, and when you extend plays it's hard to cover for a long time. So we have to do a good job of not allowing him to extend plays but also make sure we plaster guys in the back end when he does."
An upset over the Ducks would send the already insane frenzy over Colorado football into the stratosphere. Shedeur Sanders has the confidence and ability to create that, provided the Ducks are careless enough to underestimate him.
No one is going to die from brutal stab wounds, but Oregon is the prosecution. Like Marcia Clark and Christopher Darden, the Ducks enter the courtroom with all the advantages.
The facts favor their side: Oregon is a 21.5-point favorite on the Action Network and other sports gambling information sites. Both teams are 3-0, but the Ducks run the football better and stop the run more efficiently. The Colorado defense ranks 125th in the nation out of 132 teams on the ground, surrendering 5.01 yards per carry and 195.3 yards per game.
For a team with a stampeding Buffalo as a mascot, Colorado's ground game is anemic. They rush the football for just 61 yards a game and average 1.99 yards a carry. Meanwhile the Ducks have a stable of fast, shifty backs in Bucky Irving, Noah Whittington and Jordan James, plus promising freshmen Jayden Limar and Dante Dowdell. As a team they've rolled up 229.3 yards a game, 6.83 a carry.
Oregon boasts a much better offensive line. Colorado quarterback Shedeur Sanders is second in the nation in passing yardage, but he's been sacked 15 times. Bo Nix, once.
The Ducks have a better defense and a bigger, stronger team. Both squads feature players that are explosive and fast, and both teams have an accurate, resourceful quarterback. The Ducks have a pair of players in defense tackle Casey Rogers and center Jackson Powers-Johnson who squat 700 pounds. Colorado simply isn't as physical. The ESPN matchup predictor gives the hosts a 93.9% chance to win.
Yet upsets and surprise verdicts happen all the time. The main way Oregon can lose Saturday is to allow Deion Sanders and his quarterback/son Shedeur to distract them with psychological ploys, misdirection, stirring up old resentments and red herrings, making the case about something other than the facts and the evidence.
Shedeur Sanders poking CSU players in their eyes 👀 pic.twitter.com/FgCkFoQUmv
— College Transfer Portal (@CollegeFBPortal) September 17, 2023
The Ducks have to maintain focus and composure. They can't let themselves be baited into a chippy game with foolish penalties. Last week Colorado State did too much to aid Colorado's comeback, giving them 2nd and 3rd chances with late hits, roughing the passer, face masking, in all a nation's-worst 17 penalties for 182 yards, including two for 25 yards on back-to-back plays in the first overtime.
The Rams had a 28-17 lead when they scored with 11:22 to play in the 4th quarter. Shedeur and the Buffs made a courageous comeback, but the underdogs from Colorado Springs aided that comeback with penalties, mistakes and timid decisions.
People think of referees as judges but in reality they're just the baliff and court reporter. In football, the more focused team becomes the judge and jury. They decide the case.
Another fight break outs at the Colorado vs Colorado St. game! pic.twitter.com/c8DpXqVYM6
— Rate the Refs App (@Rate_the_Refs) September 17, 2023
Oregon's defense turned a stellar job of tackling, wrapping up in the open field and limiting Hawaii receivers to almost no yards after the catch.
The win sets up a Top Twenty showdown with 3-0 Colorado, who came back to defeat in-state rival Colorado State 43-35 in double overtime Saturday night.
By halftime the Webfoots led 35-3. Through three quarters, it was 49-3 with the visitors limited to 108 yards of offense and 8 first downs. Oregon played 22 freshmen during the game, and in the last period, the Rainbow Warriors put together a 9-play, 60-yard drive aided by three penalties to score their only touchdown.
Heisman Trophy candidate Bo Nix finished his day after the first drive of the third quarter. He completed 21-27 passes for 247 yards and three touchdowns, an average of 9.1 yards per attempt.
After struggling a bit against a tough Texas Tech defensive front, the UO offensive line dominated in this game. The ground game cranked out 227 yards on 30 carries, including a nifty 34-yard touchdown run by Noah Whittington, who had another breakaway run of 41 yards. Nix wasn't sacked and was rarely pressured. Great blocking from Jackson Powers-Johnson gave Tez Johnson a wall to the end zone when he scored on a 12-yard screen pass on the opening drive of the third quarter.
The defense did a beautiful job of rallying to the ball and shutting down Hawaii's quick-passing game. They held the visitors to 2-14 on third downs and forced 7 Hawaii punts and one turnover on downs, racking up a pair of sacks and 7 tackles for loss.
Ty Thompson looked solid and much improved in relief of Nix, entering the game in the second possession of the second half. He was 4-6 passing for 85 yards, including a 60-yard touchdown on a crisply thrown slant pass to Traeshon Holden.
Safety Tysheem Johnson led all tacklers with 8 stops, Bryce Boettcher had six and redshirt freshman Devon Jackson had five, including 1.5 tackles for loss. Jackson drove a runner out of bounds with a strong tackle along the left sideline, forcing a punt. Popo Aumavae busted through the middle for his second sack of the season, and Jordan Burch recorded his first as a Duck. Hawaii quarterback Brayden Schager was pressured and hurried throughout the game, just 27/43 passing on the day for 131 yards, 3.0 yards per attempt.
The Ducks opened the game with a quick three and out by the defense on three errant Brayden Schager passes. Tez Johnson returned the punt 15 yards to the Oregon 41. Bucky Irving banged up the middle for 10 yards, then Bo Nix found brother Tez behind the coverage for a 49-yard touchdown and a quick 7-0 lead.
On the second defensive series a third-down pass bounced off the receiver's hands. Cornerback Khyree Jackson alertly plucked it out the air at the Hawaii 30. That led to a 43-yard field goal by Camden Lewis.
The third Oregon drive started at their own ten. The Ducks dug it out with a couple of first downs, got 12 yards on a tight end reverse, reached the Hawaii 22 with a 40-yard flea flicker from Nix to Troy Franklin, then Jordan James scooted around a block by Ajani Cornelius for a 22-yard touchdown and a 17-0 lead with 5:52 to play in the first quarter.
Herbert makes the throw to Terrance Ferguson and completes to the 2-point conversion for @oregonfootball! 🔥 pic.twitter.com/8MSQpVgr4h
— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) September 9, 2023
After a great fall camp and two strong games to open 2023, he's now listed as a co-starter along with Ferguson, a good pass catcher in his own right.
It's not the size of the dog, it's the size of the fight in the dog for Travis Hunter 😤 💪 @CUBuffsFootball x @TravisHunterJr pic.twitter.com/hwmrRtCfQY
— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) September 11, 2023
This Saturday the opportunity to get better is a 5:00 P.M. Pacific game against Hawaii in Autzen Stadium, broadcast live on the PAC-12 Network. Oregon is a 38.5-point favorite at Bet MGM; the ESPN Matchup Predictor lists the Ducks with a 98.2% win probability.
A win sets up a confrontation with 2-0 Colorado September 22nd at 12:30 on ABC. The Buffs host 0-1 Colorado State this week, a game that they should win handily, particularly after CSU Ram head coach Jay Norvell made an ill-advised crack that Coach Prime is using to fire up his team.
In the game against Hawaii, of course the immediate goal is to win and score a lot of points, but the larger goal is to accelerate and continue the journey of improvement. Becoming a hell of a team means making themselves ready for the challenges beyond Hawaii, because those challenges are greater and will demand more of them.
The Rainbow Warriors run a Run and Shoot offense under head coach Timmy Chang, who was a record-setting quarterback at the school from 2000-2004. Chang believes in the Run and Shoot because he threw for over 17,000 yards and 117 touchdowns running the system in his playing days.
It's an offense based on concepts developed by author/coach Tiger Warren and former Portland State and Houston Gambler coach Mouse Davis. At first glance it looks a lot like the Air Raid or many other spread offenses. It usually employs four wide and receivers and one running back, quick and fast-paced. Receivers are taught to adjust their routes on the fly, finding holes in the defense, reading the coverage along with their quarterback. UH quarterback Brayden Schager distributes the ball like a basketball point guard, and those five-man patterns function like a basketball fast break.
Facing this attack is great training for Colorado, Washington, Washington State and USC, teams that throw 70% of the time and put a lot of pressure on a secondary. Hawaii throws for 324 yards a game while rushing for less than 50. Schager has passed for ten touchdowns, but he's been sacked 14 times and suffered 5 interceptions.
Look for the Ducks to improve in these areas:
Getting home with a three- or four-man pass rush and finishing at the quarterback.
Last week they let a few opportunities slip away, while at the same time Texas Tech got away with some blatant holding right in front of the PAC-12 officiating crew:
I noted this rush to a friend on Sunday. Great job. pic.twitter.com/9vgprsqPS8
— Geoff Schwartz (@geoffschwartz) September 13, 2023
The only thing that stops Matayo Uiagalelei from getting to the QB with an athletic cut inside the tackle is a blocking attempt that wouldn't be legal in the WWF.
A more effective running game, with all five offensive linemen working in unison, everybody blocked at the point of attack.
After 5,000+ votes we have a winner!@oregonfootball RT @AJCornelius65
— Joe Moore Award (@JoeMooreAward) September 13, 2023
👏👏👏#Effort #Finish https://t.co/ywpBzsikbc pic.twitter.com/2j0sgDxoS0
Oregon's running game struggled at Texas Tech, and on a lot of those plays it was a case of four guys blocking and one guy missing--a running play only works if everyone does their job or Bucky Irving or Noah Whittington succeed in making the first guy miss. Neither happened on this play, in spite of Ajani Cornelius driving his man to the ground.
Cleaning up coverage and technique errors in the secondary
Hawaii's leading receiver Pofele Ashlock, 6-2, 175, has 19 catches for 315 yards and 3 touchdowns. 6-1, 175 Steven McBride comes next with 17 grabs for 210 yards and 5 TDs.
At the end of the first quarter last week Texas Tech went on a 15-play, 75-yard scoring drive to close within 15-13, and two of their first downs came by pass interference penalty. Khyree Jackson got whistled for one such foul on 3rd and 18. Had he been able to recover and play through the receiver's hands cleanly, the Ducks would have gotten off the field with no damage.
Later in the game Tech ran a trick play, a flea-flicker/reverse where the ball was tossed back to Shough setting up in the pocket. He threw up a scud down the left sideline. Duck defensive back Jahlil Florence got a bit turned around and ran into the receiver, which bailed out another failed play with a penalty.
This week in practice the Duck defenders will be working on how to recover in those situations, driving through the receiver's hands rather than panicking and making contact, which almost always draws a foul.
With Hawaii throwing over 50 times a game and setting up their offense with four wide receivers, the Duck secondary will get a lot of work.
Improve play selection and execution in the Red Zone
After two games, Oregon leads all of college football, scoring on 73% of their drives. However, against TTU the Ducks struggled inside the Red Zone, scoring two touchdowns, three field goals and failing to score after reaching the Red Raider 17, second and one. Two TDs in 6 trips inside the 20 is unacceptable. Will Stein has to find what works for them in close, whether it's relying on Bo Nix on run/pass options, counter plays, or back shoulder throws to Troy Franklin. It's a part of the puzzle Stein simply hasn't solved yet, and in the games ahead, they've got to deliver a much better percentage of touchdowns on these opportunities.