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Monday, November 15, 2010

BCS Math Will Give You an Ice Cream Headache: It's Better to Just Let Jerry Palm Do It

How weird is the BCS? The Ducks have their closest game of the year, Auburn beats a decent Georgia team by 18, and Oregon actually widens their margin a little. It probably helped that previous UO victims Tennessee, Stanford, Washington State and USC all had wins. The Trojans are 7-3 and have climbed to 20th in the AP poll.

If the Ducks win, they're in. TCU has a bye this week, and just one remaining regular season game, with New Mexico, which isn't going to give them any additional traction with the human polls or the computers, even if they go Wisconsin on the Lobos. Boise State has a chance to make an impression with two remaining TV games, 6-3 Fresno State and at #21 Nevada, on the next two Friday nights. They close with a home game on the insidious blue turf, December 4th versus Utah State.

Auburn will not run the table. Traveling to Alabama and then facing a rematch with South Carolina in the SEC title game is the most imposing slate among the four unbeatens. If they do survive, they will probably jump Oregon in the BCS, but one or two doesn't matter until the end.

This weekend in college football, Ohio State travels to Iowa in a key Big Ten matchup. Stanford is at California. Hope the Bears recover from the epidemic of cramps that plagued them in the Oregon game. UCLA goes to Washington in a battle of teams harboring slim bowl hopes, and USC visits Corvallis to face the reeling Beavers, who are currently 4-5 with games remaining against the Trojans, Ducks, and the Stanford Cardinal to end the year. Phil Steele picked the Beavers to win the conference. What does it take to get a magazine deal?

In other games, #7 Wisconsin is at 7-3 Michigan, #11 Alabama hosts IAA independent Georgia State, and Nebraska travels to Texas A&M.

Oregon has a bye. There are 21 days remaining in the college football season. The Ducks are two games from 12-0 and a trip to the national title game. Auburn-Oregon would draw the largest audience, TCU-Oregon would be the toughest matchup, and Boise State-Oregon would have the most predictably rehashed back story.

Which matchup would you most like to see? Which one are you most wary of? Does the idea of a Boise State rematch appeal to you, or strike you as a no-win, anticlimactic, dreary blog flamefest?

What's the best way to beat each of these teams, Auburn, TCU and the Broncos, and what does a game against each look like?

If you asked Chip Kelly those questions, you'd get the stare. He doesn't deal in hypotheticals. But this is a bye week, and hypotheticals are all we have.

2 comments:

  1. Although plyaing Auburn would be the most impressive (and probally the most difficult scenerio, my preference would be to play Boise. That way everyone can shut up about small teams not making, it could end Oregon's loosing streak to the Broncos, and it would be a nice bookend to the past two seasons.

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  2. Jason--

    Internet murmurings suggest Auburn and Cam Newton are about to take a very big fall. I take no pleasure in it, but it may rock college football. Newton is Terrell Pryor, Darron Thomas, and LaMichael James rolled into one package, perhaps the most game-changing offensive player in college football since
    Vince Young and Reggie Bush. It's a shame his story turned out to be a bookend to Bush's, with the investigative timeline much accelerated.

    A rematch with Boise would dredge up a lot of predictable crap, but on the field, it would be intriguing. This year's Oregon team is much better (and in a much better place) than the 2008 and 2009 squads that lost to Boise, and Boise is essentially unchanged. I think they dump the Broncos, and put that to bed for a long while.

    Thanks for commenting.

    Dale

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