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Monday, November 15, 2010

Did Cal create a blueprint for stopping the Oregon offense?

During ESPN's BCS show Rod Gilmore alluded to the growing consensus that California has created a blueprint for stopping Oregon.

Nonsense. You're just saying that because no one ever has.

The idea crops up every time the Ducks lose, because they haven't lost very often. Oregon has now achieved 10 wins for the third season in a row, and looked good doing it. Consider these numbers, from goducks.com:

Year PPG total yds
2010 50.7 5422 (through 10 games)
2009 36.1 5356
2008 41.9 6303
2007 38.2 6078

There's a lot of video for coaches to study, and a lot of success. Yet each time Oregon loses or merely doesn't score 40 opposing players and the guys in the booth start talking about how the Ducks are overrated, or they've been figured out, or they're not that good. After Saturday's loss (operative word: loss) Cal safety Chris Conte told the Register-Guard's Eric Gilmore that the Bears showed the conference how to shut down the Oregon spread.

Cal had a lot of success with a simple man-to-man scheme and a spy on the quarterback. They held Oregon's offense to a single offensive touchdown and 317 yards, their lowest totals since Boise State and Ohio State last season. But the idea isn't novel or new. Todd McShay did a segment for ESPN with film clips from the Rose Bowl, saying this is how you stop the Oregon spread. But here's the thing: he did that piece just before the Stanford game, and since then the Ducks hung 52 on the Cardinal, 60 on UCLA, and 53 on USC and Washington.

Any offense can have a bad day. Slingin' Sammy Baugh and the Washington Redskins once lost 73-0 to the Chicago Bears, in the 1940 NFL championship game. Baugh was an offensive genius and an innovator in the early days of the NFL, completing 57% of his passes for over 21,000 yards in an era when the forward pass was an afterthought for most teams.

People thought Baugh's passing game was a gimmick, but it's stood the test of time. He did a lot of his throwing out of the single wing, the grandfather to Oregon's spread. The more things change, the more time coaches spend in the film room.

Each time Oregon loses or doesn't score 40 the careless analysis begins again, but here's the truth: the Ducks aren't a gimmick or a scheme. They are a solid, sound, well-coached football team that executes and wins. It isn't frills or fancy plays. Most of what Oregon does is pretty simple, and timeless. Zone blocking has been around for a while, and zone read plays date back to the Veer and Wishbone in the '70s.

What makes the Ducks successful is blocking, good players, and speed. There's no blueprint for stopping LaMichael James, Darron Thomas, Kenjon Barner, Jeff Maehl, Josh Huff. You have to outplay them, and so far no one has. The Ducks will use the bye week to heal and improve their execution and pass protection, and in two weeks, they'll test Arizona's blueprint, then Oregon State's.

Cal had a blueprint, but they lost. There are three dimensions to a football game, offense, defense and special teams. There are also four elements to football success: talent, heart, desire and the will to win. In the fourth quarter, with the game and a national championship season on the line, Oregon's gimmicky offense shook off their worst day to march down the field with simple blocking and straight-ahead running, keeping the ball for 9 minutes and 25 seconds. That's as old-fashioned and ungimmicky as football can get.

In the end, it was another win, the 30th in three years. The Ducks are number one in the nation, three games from a perfect season. Critics and pundits can ask all the questions they want, but Chip Kelly's answer never varies: we won. Winning is the ultimate answer to most football questions.

4 comments:

  1. First, you make a very astute point that it takes defense, special teams and offense to win. We beat Cal with defense and special teams, primarily. That's lost when people talk about Cal.

    Second, while Cal didn't lay a blueprint to stop Oregon, they certainly maned up and showed how it can be done. But I think Oregon can answer it. Let us not forget James was playing hurt and didn't have his usual strength to break tackles or break away. Let's not forget the O-line had a hard time with a seven man rush. All these things will be worked on. There are other things we can do (screen passes, slant patterns...) that will place the ball just over those 7 players and then it's a lot of green space.

    In a way, I'm glad for the Cal game as it did expose some areas we can work on to make us much more stronger.

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  2. BP--

    I agree with you about the challenges Cal posed and how Oregon will respond to them. Helfrich and Kelly aren't dummies. It's a chess game, and they'll get players healthy and make adjustments. Oregon will move the ball on Arizona and OSU.

    Good to hear from you.

    Dale

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  3. Dale, not sure why your blog isn't showing up at Duck Sports Now anymore. Glad I bookmarked, because you provide some of the most intelligent Duck commentary out there. As a former sports journalist/copy editor, I appreciate good writing. Hope you get more exposure.

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  4. Paul,

    I shot an email over to the guys at Duck Sports Now, and they assured me they were doing some server updates, and links to fan sites would be returning soon. I was relieved to hear that, because DSN is a great site that's provided a lot of exposure for this fledgling enterprise.

    Appreciate very much your kind words. We try to make this as entertaining and intelligent as we can, although sometimes I miss the mark with some of my more outrageous typos. I'm glad you enjoy the blog, and appreciate your support.

    It's been an amazing season to follow and write about the Ducks.

    Best wishes,

    Dale

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